Decrease in Loudoun County Short-Sale, Foreclosure/Bank-Owned Properties For Sale

The number of Loudoun County short-sale and foreclosure/bank-owned properties for sale has decreased significantly over the past few years. This is an important fact because it speaks to the health of the overall real estate market in Loudoun County. As you may know, the less the number and percentage of short-sale and foreclosure/bank-owned properties for sale, the better the real estate market typically is in general.

So here are the numbers…

• The number of new short-sales listings in Loudoun County went down by 42% from 2009 to 2011
• The number of foreclosure/bank-owned properties in Loudoun County went down by 53% during the same time.

And here it is broken down by year…

2009

• Short-sales made up 19.2% of all properties listed for sale in Loudoun County
• Foreclosure/bank-owned properties made up 9.6% of all properties listed for sale in Loudoun County

2010

• Short-sales made up 14.6% of all properties listed for sale in Loudoun County
• Foreclosure/bank-owned properties made up 6.3% off all properties listed for sale in Loudoun County

2011

• Short-sales made up 11.1% of all properties listed for sale in Loudoun County
• Foreclosure/bank-owned properties made up 4.5% of all properties listed for sale in Loudoun County

These are refreshing numbers to see after the chaos of a market we’ve had in the latter part of the last decade. These numbers and trends along with other local real estate market statistics and “street reports” backs-up the sentiment that the worst is behind us and that the local market has and is continuing to improve.

Anyone Seen Where All the Loudoun Foreclosure/Bank-Owned Properties Have Gone?

Two years ago, you couldn’t walk out your front door in Loudoun/Northern Virginia and not see a foreclosure/bank-owned property for sale. But something interesting has been going on for the past 12 months…the number of foreclosure/bank-owned properties on the market has been quickly dwindling.

As of today, there are only 60 active foreclosure/bank-owned properties on the market in Loudoun. That’s a total of only 6 percent of the total existing home inventory on the market in Loudoun County. This is a far cry from what we were seeing in 2007, 2008 and even the beginning of 2009.

How is this possible despite record foreclosure filings throughout the US?

One possible reason is that the bans are holding on to their inventories on purpose. Releasing them all at once would sink the market and the value of all properties (including the ones the bank are holding to) would fall. This means that the overall worth of the properties the banks are holding on to would fall - not something banks or their shareholders want to see.

Another reason may be that the government is buying up these “troubled assets” so that they don’t get released on the market and sink it. Just look at the millions the government is spending buying up Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS).

Will we see a flood of foreclosure/bank-owned properties hit the Loudoun market in the near future?

I’d say “not any time soon” for a variety of reasons including political ones. But I don’t have a crystal ball so don’t take what I say to the bank.

Either way, the majority of homes on the market in Loudoun and Northern Virignia in general are short-sales and traditional resales. Practically speaking, this means that buyers who need to settle within 30 to 90 days have pretty much only traditional resales to choose from (blog post on this coming next week).

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