Buyers/Sellers: What Does Few Foreclosure/Bank-Owned Properties on the Market Mean To You?

The other day, I talked about how few foreclosure/bank-owned properties there are on the market in Loudoun County and Northern Virginia (click here if you missed the post). But what does having only a very few foreclosure/bank-owned properties on the market really mean for Loudoun/Northern Virginia home buyers and sellers?

Buyers

• If you would like to settle quickly, your only options are traditional resales and foreclosure/bank-owned properties. Either can typically settle within 3 to 6 weeks (less if cash offer) of when the contract is accepted and ratified
• Since there are so few foreclosure/bank-owned properties, the overwhelming majority of properties you’ll see will be traditional resales
• Traditional resales are typically in better condition and require less work than foreclosure/bank-owned properties, but you’ll pay more for them up-front in the purchase price
• If you have the time (3 to 6+ months) and patience and want to spend less money up front, but don’t mind doing some work to the property, then you may want to consider a short-sale
• If you’re trying to take advantage of the first-time home buyer tax credit, you’re looking at only foreclosure/bank-owned properties and traditional resale (click here for more information on what I mean by that)

Sellers

• If you are a home owner selling your home as a traditional resale (not a short-sale), you’re in a great position
• When there were a lot of foreclosure/bank-owned properties on the market, buyers who needed to settle quickly could choose from a foreclosure/bank-owned property or a traditional resale. Now…their options are pretty much limited to traditional resales, which is good for you

CLICK HERE TO SEARCH FOR LOUDOUN FORECLOSURE/BANK-OWNED PROPERTIES

Anyone Seen Where All the Loudoun Foreclosure/Bank-Owned Properties Have Gone?

Two years ago, you couldn’t walk out your front door in Loudoun/Northern Virginia and not see a foreclosure/bank-owned property for sale. But something interesting has been going on for the past 12 months…the number of foreclosure/bank-owned properties on the market has been quickly dwindling.

As of today, there are only 60 active foreclosure/bank-owned properties on the market in Loudoun. That’s a total of only 6 percent of the total existing home inventory on the market in Loudoun County. This is a far cry from what we were seeing in 2007, 2008 and even the beginning of 2009.

How is this possible despite record foreclosure filings throughout the US?

One possible reason is that the bans are holding on to their inventories on purpose. Releasing them all at once would sink the market and the value of all properties (including the ones the bank are holding to) would fall. This means that the overall worth of the properties the banks are holding on to would fall - not something banks or their shareholders want to see.

Another reason may be that the government is buying up these “troubled assets” so that they don’t get released on the market and sink it. Just look at the millions the government is spending buying up Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS).

Will we see a flood of foreclosure/bank-owned properties hit the Loudoun market in the near future?

I’d say “not any time soon” for a variety of reasons including political ones. But I don’t have a crystal ball so don’t take what I say to the bank.

Either way, the majority of homes on the market in Loudoun and Northern Virignia in general are short-sales and traditional resales. Practically speaking, this means that buyers who need to settle within 30 to 90 days have pretty much only traditional resales to choose from (blog post on this coming next week).

CLICK HERE TO SEARCH FOR LOUDOUN FORECLOSURE/BANK-OWNED PROPERTIES

Short-Sales Wear the Crown in Loudoun County

This time last year, foreclosure/bank-owned properties were King by making up the largest percentage of distressed properties on the market. Today, it’s the opposite.

Short-sale properties now wear the crown out-numbering foreclosure/bank-owned properties for sale almost 4 to 1 and accounting for almost 20 percent of the total homes for sale in Loudoun County.

This dramatic shift is due to the foreclosure moratoriums that were in place at the end of last year and the beginning of this year (which seem to be voluntarily continued) along with banks becoming more open to negotiating short-sales (whether on their own free will or government coercion).

What does this mean for Loudoun home buyers and sellers?

For sellers, it means that, if you’re thinking about selling your home “short”, now is the time to do it. Banks are more open to negotiating with home owners and buyers are receptive to buying a short-sale. In addition, the U.S. Government is offering to pay the second trust in a short-sale up to $1000 to get the deal done.

You should also make sure that the Listing Agent you hire has successfully completed numerous short-sale transactions within the past 6 to 12 months (anything further back than 6 to 12 months doesn’t count because the rules today are much different than they were more than 12 months ago let alone in the history of real estate).

For buyers, it means that the majority of the “great deals” are short-sales. This means that you have to shift your thinking and “life plans” from moving in 30 to 45 days to moving in 4 to 7 months from now. This is because short-sales have a much longer turn around time and a smaller chance of success (unlike ordering a Whopper from Burger King).

The typical bank-owned property takes a few days to 1 week to get a response on while a short-sale typically takes 3 to 4 months (sometimes 6+ months). And even when you do get a response, it could be a counter-offer from the bank(s) or even worse, a plain old, “No - we’re not accepting a short-sale” and you’re S.O.L.

As a buyer, you should know what you’re getting yourself into with short-sales and have a Buyer’s Agent working for you that knows the ins and outs of the short-sale transaction. This will maximize your chance for successfully purchasing a great deal and actually getting to the settlement table.

If you’re a seller thinking about doing a short-sale, but aren’t sure what a short-sale is all about or where to start, pick up the phone or email me and I’ll be glad to help answer any questions or concerns you may have.

If you’re a buyer thinking about buying a short-sale in the Loudoun/Northern Virginia area, email or call me so we can chat about your specific needs and see how I can be of help.

***CLICK HERE FOR A LIST OF ALL ACTIVE SHORT SALES FOR SALE IN LOUDOUN COUNTY***

10 Questions To Ask Before Writing an Offer on a Short-Sale

It’s like the Wild West right now when it comes to short-sales in Loudoun County (and the entire Northern VA area). Some take 60 days to settle while others take 6 months (if they settle at all). Some are handled by agents, title companies and negotiators that know what they’re doing while others are not. The list goes on…

That’s why every buyer (and buyer’s agent) should ask the listing agent/broker (or seller if FSBO) the following 10 questions before they write an offer on a short-sale…

1. Have you received any other offers that you are waiting to hear back on from the bank?
2. How many trusts are involved that will be “short”?
3. How many total banks/creditors are involved in the short-sale and which banks/creditors are they?
4. Have you requested and received the short-sale package from the bank(s) including the hardship letter?
5. Have you sent the package and confirmed receipt?
6. Has the asking price been approved by the bank(s)/creditor(s)?
7. Who is negotiating the short-sale with the bank(s)/creditor(s) - you, a negotiator, a lawyer, the title company or….?
8. Has the seller/borrower completely stopped making payments on their loan(s)?
9. Is the seller willing to hold a note with the bank for the difference? (much better for their credit score)?
10. How many short-sales have you (the listing agent) closed within the past 12 months?

If the listing agent balks at answering these questions, it’s either because the seller does not wish to disclose the information and/or the listing agent may not know what they’re doing. Either way, if you don’t have the answers to all of these questions, you can’t make a very educated decision as to whether it’s worth writing an offer on the property or not.

Why? Here are just a few of the reasons…

• Different banks have different approval percentages and varying time frames for processing the short-sale. For example, if you have to move within the next 60 to 90 days, a short-sale being negotiated with CitiMortgage may not be something you want to pursue. If the short-sale is being negotiated with IndyMac, you will be talking to folks in a call center in another part of the world (literally) that care little about your short-sale (or IndyMac for that matter because IndyMac no longer exists)
• If the agent, title company and/or negotiator has not negotiated/closed many short-sales, they may not know what they’re doing which lowers the chance of the short-sale being approved and you being able to actually buy the property.
• If there is more than one trust, the total approval process time doubles because the second trust typically does not start their approval process until they have written approval from the first trust.

The 10 questions listed above are very similar to the 10 questions that Frank Llosa recommends asking before seeing a short-sale in one of his (excellent) posts. One question that Frank has on his list that I don’t have on mine is…

• How long do you estimate that the lender will take to provide an answer to an offer?

The reason why I don’t have it as one of my questions is because I’ve found that some agents just throw a date out there that they pulled out of thin air. For example, one agent told me the other day that she could have an approval and settle on the short-sale “within 45 days at the most” despite the short-sale being through Countrywide who is running way behind on short-sale approvals due to their recent merger with Bank of America which involved physically moving many offices, computers, files and employees.

Forty-five days? Riiiiiight… And I have a great deal on some ocean-front property in Arizona. No, really!

Rather than relying on what the listing agent tells you, your Buyer’s Agent should know and be keeping up with the nuances and latest news regarding each individual bank/lender’s short-sale approval process and how long it typically takes. This includes anything and everything that could affect the length of time it could take (such as the Countrywide/BoA example above).

Important: If a Buyer’s Agent tries to get you to blindly write an offer on a short-sale without asking these questions first or the listing agent is not willing to answer them, be wary and look at your other options.

On a related note…I will be writing a post on which banks are the fastest at approving short-sales, which are the slowest and which banks are the easiest to deal with from a sellers and buyers standpoint. Keep an eye out for that later this week.

Search for short-sales in Loudoun County

Best Condo Investment Opportunities in Loudoun, Fairfax County

Several folks have recently asked me, “Which condo communities in Loudoun and Fairfax County offer the best investment opportunities?” Here are my thoughts and the rationale behind them…

Loudoun County

The best current bang for your buck on condos for rental investment opportunities in Ashburn is in the Westmaren community (Ashburn Farm) and the Lakeshore community (Ashburn Village). They’re both immediately next to shopping centers which make them very attractive for renters (and buyers). Westmaren has a lower price point than Lakeshore, but Lakeshore’s rental rates are higher. Both communities have decent condo fees and currently offer break-even to positive cash flow with 20 to 30 percent down at today’s interest rates.

The condos with the best future (6-10 year) potential are in the Summerfield community in Brambleton. The Summerfield condos are directly across Ryan Rd from Brambleton Town Center, which they’re planning on building either an underground or overhead walkway to/from. In addition, Summerfield and Brambleton are only a few miles from the future Moorefield Station and the last stop on the Dulles Metro Rail (Silver Line).

Fairfax County

Condos with some of the greatest upside potential throughout all of Fairfax County (if not the entire Northern VA area) can be found in Reston. More specifically, condos located near one of the two future metro rail stations (coming 2013). And the metro stations themselves aren’t the only thing being built. Roads are being redesigned, new walking/biking trails are being added, new bus routes are being designed, future growth won’t impact traffic as much as it has/does now, etc. (Click here for the Wiehle Avenue/Reston Parkway Station Access Management Plan Executive Summary)

Once the metro stops are operational (if not before), you’ll see an increased demand for condos located near those stops or on one of the new arteries leading to the stops. This typically leads to an increase in rental rates and market values.

If you’re wondering just how much upside there is when metro comes to town, just look at what effect the Orange Line from Washington, DC to Ballston had on the Wilson/Clarendon Boulevard corridor in Arlington.

One thing to keep in mind…condo fees.

In Northern VA, the landlord, not the tenant, typically pays the condo fees out of their own pocket. Make sure you factor in the condo fee when crunching the numbers.

• Condo fees in Westmaren in Ashburn range from around $175 to $300 (per month); Lakeshore’s range from $240 to $350; Summerfield’s are a bit higher than both
• Condo fees in Reston very greatly from community to community and unit to unit. I can provide you with the condo fees on any community or specific condo unit upon request

If you have any questions or need further clarification on anything, don’t hesitate to contact me.

Can You Make Money “Flipping” Homes in this Market?

Ever since the Loudoun/Northern Virginia real estate market turned in 2005, real estate investors have not really been able to make a lot of money “flipping” homes. In fact, many lost money. This is because prices were still declining and investors ended up not making a profit and even losing money on the deal.

But that has changed.

Pockets of Loudoun County and Northern Virginia have foreclosure/bank-owned properties that are selling for well below market value - even taking into consideration the amount of work necessary to rehab the property. Real estate investors are starting to buy them up, fix them and sell them for a profit - all in as little as 2 months.

Here are two real-life examples:

1) Fannie Mae owned town home - purchased for $160,000 (net) near end of 2008 - it needed about $30K worth of rehab (retail price - less if you have a “hook up” with a contractor or do the work yourself) - sold 6 months later for $242,500 (net). Taking into consideration cost of purchase and sale, you’re still clearing about $38K, an 18.6 percent return on your investment in 6 months.

2) Wells Fargo owned town home - purchased for $140,000 (net) in February 2009 - it needed about $40K worth of rehab (retail price) - sold in April 2009 for $244,800 (net). Taking into consideration cost of purchase and sale, you’re still clearing $52K, a 27 percent return on your investment in 2 months.

There are other opportunities like these out there - you just have to do your due diligence and find them. If you’re a real estate investor looking for other “flip” or rental investment opportunities such as these, I’d be happy to help. You can contact me here.

Foreclosure, Bank-Owned, Short-Sale Properties Bulk of Loudoun Home Sales

Foreclosure, bank-owned and short-sale properties make up over half of total home sales in Loudoun County. This has been the case for some time now and will most likely continue through at least the end of 2009, if not longer.

A few things I’ve noticed…

1. The percentage of foreclosure/bank-owned properties to total sales has decreased. This probably has to do with the foreclosure moratoriums that were in place from the end of 2008 to March 31 of this year.
2. The percentage of short-sale properties to total sales has increased. This is due to banks becoming more willing to accept short-sales and because more sellers are trying to take the short-sale route rather than being foreclosed on.
3. The increase in short-sales has left more home buyers frustrated than every before. The short-sale process is long, requires a lot of patience and has less chance for success than a foreclosure/bank-owned and traditional sale.

We should start seeing more foreclosures come on the market now that the foreclosure moratoriums have been lifted and Fannie/Freddie and other banks are back at it foreclosing on delinquent borrowers. In one way, this is a good thing because it will give home buyers more straight-forward and less stressful inventory to choose from. In another way, more foreclosures on the market could be bad because it could put downward pressure on prices. It all depends on the rate at which banks release all their foreclosure properties on to the market.

Loudoun Foreclosure, Bank-Owned, Short-Sale Market Statistics - April 2009

Here’s a look at Loudoun County foreclosure/bank-owned and short-sale market statistics for April 2009:

Total Sales/Buyer Demand 

• The number of foreclosure/bank-owned and short-sale property sales in April 2009 were almost exactly the same as in March 2009 (325 vs 323)
• April 2009 sales were up 29 percent over April 2008

Inventory/Supply

• April 2009 had 273 new foreclosure/bank-owned and short-sale listings come on the market versus 289 in March 2009, a decrease of almost 6 percent (In comparison, April 2008 saw a 23 percent increase in listings from March 2008)
• April 2009 had 273 new listings come on the market versus 360 in April 2008, a decrease of  24 percent

Translation…

Buyer demand for foreclosure/bank-owned and short-sale properties has increased tremendously from last year. But the rate of new inventory/listings on the market is way down. This means more buyers competing over fewer properties which has lead to price stabilization and many multiple/competing offer situations.

Click here for more on Loudoun’s housing market conditions and how they affect you as a home owner, seller or buyer.